Is concentration gambling?
Since October 2002, the top performing letter according to Hulbert
Interactive was Fredhager.com, up an astonishing 89% annualized. This
is even more astonishing because Fredhager's longer term performance
is quite poor, down 8% annualized over the last five years. And since
1999, when the Hulbert Financial Digest began monitoring it,
Fredhager.com is up 4.4% annualized. During this wild ride at some
point Fredhager.com's portfolio lost 97% of its value in one year.
Fredhager.com's strategy seems to be take immense gambles, often
focusing heavily on one stock. Right now this is Rambus (RMBS), a
risky play on intellectual property in the semiconductor market and on
how judges and courts misunderstand technology and deceive themselves
up with ridiculous arguments.
|